These situational spots have become the MLB best bets of 2019


Special wagers and why they’ve become the MLB best bets

These situational spots have become the MLB best bets of 2019 | News Article by

Handicapping the MLB season is all about finding your spots among the 162-game slate. As the season plays out, teams will begin to show value with certain bets in certain situations. Here’s a look at those special wagers and why they’ve become the MLB best bets.

Yankees Over/Under splits
The Bronx Bombers bring the bats on the road, where they plate an average of 6.31 runs per game as visitors. That’s pushed New York to a 25-8-2 Over/Under mark on the road – playing above the total 69% of the time.

However, when inside Yankees Stadium, the club scores 5.27 runs an outing while the pitching staff owns a 3.52 ERA in front of the Big Apple crowds. That’s equated to a 19-25-1 Over/Under record – staying Under the total in 57% of those home games. The home/Under trends has lost a little steam in June but the road/Over run is still going strong, with the Yankees playing six straight away from home once returning from London.

Astros vs. AL West
The Houston Astros are among the major league elite and don’t let their divisional foes forget it. Houston has owned the American League West this season, boasting a 23-6 record against divisional opponents.

Now MLB bettors beware: due to this dominance, Houston is almost always a moneyline favorite and has watched those price tags soar into the -300 range versus some weaker AL West opposition. The could be better value on this trend in the middle of July, when the Astros head to Texas and Los Angeles for an eight-game road trip with shorter moneylines.

Rangers vs. Runline
The Texas Rangers are among a group of three divisional rivals chasing the Astros in the American League West, entering the weekend with a 46-37 SU record. Those wins and losses have panned out to a solid 18.8 units for moneyline bettor and those rolling the dice on the runline have earned a touch less.

Baseball’s version of the pointspread has added up to 18.3 units for Rangers bettors. Texas has a 0.78 margin of victory on the season and while its 12-12 as 1.5-run underdogs – with the plus-money juice – they’ve posted a 39-20 ATS mark at +1.5 – granted those returns come with some heavy vig.

Twins on the road
Minnesota has made the most of life on the road through three months of the baseball season. The Twins are 27-15 as visitors, earning 11.4 units for bettors. We have seen books adjusting those away moneylines after Minnesota made serious bank in the first two months of the season, but with the club pounding in a major league-best 6.38 runs per away game, the value is still hanging around.

The Twins are 11-9 as road underdogs in 2019 but 16-6 as moneyline chalk in opposing parks. Minnesota wraps up a road trip with three games in Oakland this coming week and will hit the road for brief three-game stay in Cleveland in the middle of July.

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