Best bets in baseball heading into the MLB All-Star Break


Here the most profitable plays on the diamond so far this summer

Best bets in baseball heading into the MLB All-Star Break | News Article by

The baseball season is almost at the midway mark, with the annual “Mid-Summer Classic” scheduled for next week. The All-Star Break is a perfect time to look at the last three and a half months, and recognize the top money makers for those betting the MLB odds.

Here the most profitable plays on the diamond so far this summer:

Top Moneyline Bet: Seattle Mariners (57-34, +19.85 units)
The last time the Mariners made this much money for baseball bettors, a Japanese import named Ichiro was playing in his rookie season – which turned out to be an MVP season as well. Seattle is posting it best profits since the 2001 M’s, who finished the year 116-46 for 49.73 units of profit. This year’s edition of the Mariners have stacked the bulk of those profits with a 23-12 mark since June. They’ve been very good at home with a 31-17 record at Safeco Field, picking up 10 units of those total 19.85 in front of the Seattle faithful.

Top Runline Bet: Tampa Bay Rays (46-44 SU, 54-35 ATS, +23.58 units)
The funny thing about runlines is that you don’t really have to be a winning team to cash in: you just have to be good enough to cover the 1.5 runs. Tampa Bay has been just that, and no other team is even close in terms of runline returns (Boston is 53-38 for +15.04 units). The Rays are covering the runline 60 percent of the time, with an ever-so slender half a run margin of victory on the season. They’ve been especially sharp versus baseball’s version of the spread at home, with a 30-10 ATS mark inside Tropicana Field.

Top Over Bet: Miami Marlins (47-43-2 Over/Under)
It doesn’t take a MIT grad to see why the Marlins are the most profit play for MLB Over bettors so far this summer. Miami is giving up nearly five runs per game – 4.82 collective ERA – since April, which does most of the heavy lifting for those wagering on high-scoring baseball. At the plate, the Marlins score 3.82 runs – 27th in the majors – so they’re at least keeping it a little interesting. Things get especially sweeter for Over backer when Miami hits the highway, with a 28-19 Over/Under mark away from South Beach – thanks in large part to an MLB-worst 6.20 ERA on the road. I’ll repeat that: 6.20 ERA on the road. Gross... if you’re not betting the Over in those games.

Top Under Bet: Detroit Tigers (36-53-3 Over/Under)
There are a number of teams contending for the title of “Best Under Bet” but at this point the Tigers are the best at staying below the total. Detroit ranks 23rd in scoring at 4.03 runs an outing, but Under backers have got to thank the Tigers pitching staff for the recent run of low-scoring results. Detroit has gone 3-9-1 Over/Under in its last 13 games and owns a 3.81 ERA in July so far – sixth best in the American League. Losing slugger Miguel Cabrera to a season-ending torn biceps in June has really plagued this lineup, leaving Detroit to go 19-32-3 Over/Under without him (63 percent Under).

Top First 5-Innings Bet: Cleveland Indians
If you’re looking to bank on a quick-hitting MLB wager, the Tribe on the first five innings line is it. Cleveland has the top run differential through the opening five frames, up +1.01 runs so far in 2018. The Indians have a strong starting rotation, boasting a 3.46 collective ERA, 48 quality starts and an average of 6 2/3 innings of work per outing. And that’s what you want to bet on when playing the first five innings – before the bullpen ruins it all. Cleveland’s relievers have a 5.13 ERA, 10 blown saves, and have watch the Indians get edged 1.98-1.87 in the last four innings – sixth through ninth – this year.

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